{{Cite journal| doi = 10.1016/S0140-6736(24)00685-8| issn = 1474-547X (Electronic) 0140-6736 (Print) 0140-6736 (Linking)| volume = 403| issue = 10440| pages = 2204–2256| last = Collaborators| first = G. B. D. Forecasting| title = Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022-2050: a forecasting analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021| journal = Lancet| date = 2024-05-19| pmid = 38762325}}